Andrew Parsons’ 3 Round Mock Draft (3/27)
1. Kansas City Chiefs: OT Luke Joeckel, Texas A&M
When adding up all the moves that have been made by the Chiefs this offseason, you have to figure the pick will be used for the guy they’ve been linked to all along.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars: QB Geno Smith, West Virginia
New ownership, new management, new coach. New QB? I think so. Especially with GM David Caldwell coming from an organization (Falcons) that decided to pair a defensive minded head coach with a quarterback that everyone wasn’t sold on as a top pick.
3. Oakland Raiders: DE Ezekiel Ansah, BYU
A bit off the grid with this one. I don’t see the Floyd pick that everyone else does. With the lack of overall talent on the team, signings of DTs Pat Sims and Vance Walker, and the option to move Lamarr Houston inside, I just can’t see another DT being selected. Milliner is an option, but I say they opt for the pass rusher.
4. Philadelphia Eagles: DT Sharrif Floyd, Florida
The Philly kid fits in perfectly to Billy Davis’ new 4-3 Under defense. They lack depth along the line, and need someone to fill the 3 technique spot. Sharrif will likely be seen to fit that role better than Star.
5. Detroit Lions: OT Eric Fisher, Central Michigan
After Jeff Backus retired (and Gosder Cherilus signed with Indy), it has become hard for me to not think OT here. While DE is a need and an option, I think they’ll choose to protect Stafford’s blindside, and not force Riley Reiff into the LT spot.
6. Cleveland Browns: CB Dee Milliner, Alabama
The Browns would love to trade down here, having addressed many other needs already. However, if they stand pat, I think they’d add Milliner to pair with Joe Haden.
7. Arizona Cardinals: OLB Dion Jordan, Oregon
Lane Johnson seems to be the popular selection at this spot, but I think that the Cardinals would instead opt for the dynamic linebacker. Bobbie Massie improved mightily as the season went on, and you can do worse than a Massie-Levi Brown combo in my mind. I think Warmack is actually more likely than Johnson, but the positional value of a guard here makes Jordan’s ability too much to pass up.
8. Buffalo Bills: QB Ryan Nassib, Syracuse
You didn’t think only 1 QB was going to go in the first round, did you? While I don’t think he’s nearly this good, we’re talking about a QB hungry team, who just so happened to hire Nassib’s college coach. The dots are there, so I’m going to connect them.
9. New York Jets: OLB Barkevious Mingo, LSU
The Jets desperately need to create pressure outside of Rex Ryan’s blitz packages, and Mingo can provide that. He can be everything Rex thought he was going to make out of Aaron Maybin.
10. Tennessee Titans: WR Tavon Austin, West Virginia
The Titans are a weird team. They aren’t particularly talented, but they also don’t have many glaring needs. After the departure of TE Jared Cook, I think Tennessee replaces him (Cook played almost exclusively out of the slot) with Austin as their “space” guy. This allows Wright to play outside, and reduces the dependence on Kenny Britt.
11. San Diego Chargers: OT Lane Johnson, Oklahoma
The Chargers absolutely need to do something to protect Rivers, and this is a perfect fit. Lane’s a bit rough around the edges, but has the highest ceiling of any offensive tackle in this class.
12. Miami Dolphins: CB Desmond Trufant, Washington
I’m not nearly as high on Trufant as most, but the NFL seems to love him, and his bloodlines. Trufant does have experience in both man and zone coverage, which makes him a better fit than Xavier Rhodes here.
13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: DT Star Lotulelei, Utah
In my mind, Tampa will likely be targeting Rhodes or Trufant at this spot heading into the draft. However, when someone with the talent of Lotulelei falls, you simply cannot pass him up. He’ll readily replace Roy Miller as the anchor of a defense, while adding more playmaking ability.
14. Carolina Panthers: DT Sheldon Richardson, Missouri
WR is an option here, but I think the Panthers finally address the massive need they have at defensive tackle. Richardson will provide an inside presence to balance their tremendous DE duo of Charles Johnson and Greg Hardy.
15. New Orleans Saints: DB Xavier Rhodes, FSU
I know that they have Greer, Robinson, and a newly signed Keenan Lewis, but this is a good position to be deep at. Rhodes fits what Ryan wants out of his corner (long and press), but also gives the Saints the added option of playing him at safety.
16. St. Louis Rams: OG Chance Warmack, Alabama
Fisher loves to pound the rock. I can’t think of anyone who will assist with that more than Warmack, and this pick also has the benefit of keeping QB Sam Bradford upright. Tough to think of many better fits than this one.
17. Pittsburgh Steelers: WR Cordarrelle Patterson, Tennessee
With Mike Wallace departed for Miami, and the uncertainty beyond this season with Emmanuel Sanders, the Steelers add another explosive WR here. Patterson’s game still needs time, but he can contribute right away on those quick screens OC Todd Haley is so fond of.
18. Dallas Cowboys: S Kenny Vaccaro, Texas
Dallas would be elated if Vaccarro was still around here. Safety has been a need for years, and Vaccaro also brings a “home-town” presence that will be easy for Jerry Jones to sell to Cowboy fans.
19. New York Giants: DE Cornelius Carradine, FSU
Osi Umenyiora is gone, and Justin Tuck isn’t the player he once was. In typical Jerry Reese fashion, he pounces on the best player available with Carradine. It’s unknown how much Carradine will be able to contribute early on coming off an ACL tear, but his overall skillset should make him a Pro Bowl defensive end in the future.
20. Chicago Bears: OG/C Jonathan Cooper, North Carolina
After addressing some of their offensive tackle needs with the signing of free agent LT Jermon Bushrod, the Bears turn to the interior offensive line and select the North Carolina prospect capable of playing center or guard for the Bears.
21. Cincinnati Bengals: LB Alec Ogletree, Georgia
While his issues with gap discipline will give DC Mike Zimmer fits, his talent is undeniable. Zimmer should also be able to help Ogletree improve on his biggest flaw (his hand usage), while Ogletree can still contribute immediately by adding speed and playmaking ability to the Bengals linebacker corps.
22. St. Louis Rams (from Washington Redskins): S Jonathan Cyprien, FIU
With Vaccarro off the board, the Rams select the guy that most people have as their second ranked safety. After his stock blew up after the Senior Bowl, Cyprien appears like a lock for the first round, and fills a need for the Rams.
23. Minnesota Vikings: WR DeAndre Hopkins, Clemson
This is a pick that I’ve had pegged for a while. The Percy Harvin trade and the Greg Jennings signing haven’t changed a thing for me, as I still think the Vikings will look to add this tremendously refined WR.
24. Indianapolis Colts: OLB Jarvis Jones, Georgia
Most people pegged the Colts to snag either Cliff Avril or Paul Kruger in free agency to fill their pass rushing need. They signed neither, and instead signed Erik Walden and Lawrence Sidbury. I can’t say I’m convinced they’re done adding pass rushers after those signings.
25. Minnesota Vikings (from Seattle Seahawks): LB Arthur Brown, Kansas State
I could also see the Vikings adding a defensive back after the Hopkins pick, but I think Brown is by far the best overall player remaining at this point in the draft, who also happens to fill a need for the Vikings.
26. Green Bay Packers: OLB Bjoern Werner, FSU
Earlier on in the process, Werner was mocked as high as #2 overall, but his stock has settled after a somewhat disappointing combine performance. While his pad level issues don’t make him an ideal 43 DE to 34 OLB convert, I think he’ll transition more than adequately.
27. Houston Texans: WR Markus Wheaton, Oregon State
I think it’s pretty obvious what the Texans are looking for. They want a WR who can absolutely blow the lid off defenses, and Wheaton is that type of wide receiver.
28. Denver Broncos: S Matt Elam, Florida
The Broncos desperately need some help at the safety position, and Vaccaro and Cyprien are already off the board. While Elam is not without flaws, he’s still one of my favorite prospects in this year’s draft, and he should be able to contribute big plays immediately.
29. New England Patriots: WR Justin Hunter, Tennessee
The lateral move of signing Danny Amendola, and the addition of Donald Jones doesn’t deter me from thinking the Patriots are done with trying to upgrade this position. I’d suggest looking at the rumors of them considering signing RFA Emmanuel Sanders and Greg Jennings. While Hunter disappointed in his Junior season, he’s an explosive receiver who does a lot of things very well. I think most of his issues this year had to more with letting his knee injury get to his head, as opposed to any lack of skill.
30. Atlanta Falcons: CB Jamar Taylor, Boise State
While at the time of writing this, DE Osi Umenyiora still hasn’t signed with the Falcons, it seems to be a forgone conclusion at this point. The Falcons still might consider drafting Eifert to replace Tony Gonzalez next year at this spot, it looks like they are built to win immediately. To accomplish that, the Falcons chose to upgrade on their number two cornerback spot.
31. San Francisco 49ers: TE Tyler Eifert, Notre Dame
San Francisco is in a fortunate position where they don’t have too many needs to address. Although they have Vernon Davis, Delanie Walker recently left town, and Eifert can fill his void on 2 TE sets. While Eifert isn’t the same caliber of blocker Walker is, he has shown himself more than willing, and sometimes even more than capable of performing. At the very least, he is an intriguing option to flex out wide and make plays in the redzone, ala Randy Moss last year.
32. Baltimore Ravens: LB Kevin Minter, LSU
While I don’t think that Kevin Minter will ever be a star, he’s a ferocious tackler who will help fill the void left by the depature of both Ray Lewis and Dannell Ellerbee. I would also consider a safety and option here, but I’m not sure if the Ravens would pull the trigger on a safety here with Vaccaro, Cyprien, and Elam all off the board. WR is also an intriguing option after the trade of WR Anquan Boldin to the 49ers.
33. Jacksonville Jaguars: CB Jonathan Banks, Mississippi State
34. San Francisco 49ers (from Kansas City Chiefs): DT Jesse Williams, Alabama
35. Philadelphia Eagles: OT Terron Armstead, Arkansas Pine-Bluff
36. Detroit Lions: DE Alex Okafor, Texas
37. Cincinnati Bengals (from Oakland Raiders): S Eric Reid, LSU
38. Arizona Cardinals: QB Tyler Wilson, Arkansas
39. New York Jets: RB Eddie Lacy, Alabama
40. Tennessee Titans: QB Matt Barkley, USC
41. Buffalo Bills: WR Keenan Allen, California
42. Miami Dolphins: OT Menelik Watson, FSU
43. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: TE Zach Ertz, Stanford
44. Carolina Panthers: WR Stedman Bailey, West Virginia
45. San Diego Chargers: OLB Damontre Moore, Texas A&M
46. St. Louis Rams: WR Quinton Patton, Louisiana Tech
47. Dallas Cowboys: OL DJ Fluker, Alabama
48. Pittsburgh Steelers: DT Jonathan Hankins, Ohio State
49. New York Giants: CB Blidi-Wreh Wilson, UConn
50. Chicago Bears: LB Khaseem Greene, Rutgers
51. Washington Redskins: CB Jordan Poyer, Oregon State
52. Minnesota Vikings: QB EJ Manuel, FSU
53. Cincinnati Bengals: RB Giovanni Bernard, North Carolina
54. Miami Dolphins (from Indianapolis Colts): DE Datone Jones, UCLA
55. Green Bay Packers: DT Kawaan Short, Purdue
56. Seattle Seahawks: DT Sylvester Williams, North Carolina
57. Houston Texans: OL Kyle Long, Oregon
58. Denver Broncos: LB Manti Te’o, Notre Dame
59. New England Patriots: DE Margus Hunt, SMU
60. Atlanta Falcons: LB Sio Moore, UConn
61. San Francisco 49ers: CB Darius Slay, Mississippi State
62. Baltimore Ravens: S DJ Swearinger, South Carolina
63. Kansas City Chiefs: WR Robert Woods, USC
64. Jacksonville Jaguars: OT Reid Fragel, Ohio State
65. Detroit Lions: OLB Kiko Alonso, Oregon
66. Oakland Raiders: CB Will Davis, Utah State
67. Philadelphia Eagles: QB Matt Scott, Arizona
68. Cleveland Browns: QB Mike Glennon, North Carolina State
69. Arizona Cardinals: OG Larry Warford, Kentucky
70. Tennessee Titans: DE Cornelius Washington, Georgia
71. Buffalo Bills: OG Dallas Thomas, Tennessee
72. New York Jets: S David Amerson, North Carolina State
73. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: QB Tyler Bray, Tennessee
74. San Francisco 49ers (from Carolina Panthers): OLB Jamie Collins, Southern Miss
75. New Orleans Saints: S TJ McDonald, USC
76. San Diego Chargers: WR Aaron Dobson, Marshall
77. Miami Dolphins: CB Logan Ryan, Rutgers
78. St. Louis Rams: LB Gerald Hodges, Penn State
79. Pittsburgh Steelers: OLB Corey Lemonier, Auburn
80. Dallas Cowboys: S Phillip Thomas, Fresno State
81. New York Giants: TE Travis Kelce, Cincinatti
82. Miami Dolphins (from Chicago Bears): TE Vance McDonald, Rice
83. Minnesota Vikings: CB Leon McFadden, San Diego State
84. Cincinnati Bengals: C Travis Frederick, Wisconsin
85. Washington Redskins: S JJ Wilcox, Georgia Southern
86. Indianapolis Colts: DE Joe Kruger, Utah
87. Seattle Seahawks: TE Gavin Escobar, San Diego State
88. Green Bay Packers: RB Jonathan Franklin, UCLA
89. Houston Texans: TE Jordan Reed, Florida
90. Denver Broncos: DT Bennie Logan, LSU
91. New England Patriots: DT Jonathan Jenkins, Georgia
92. Atlanta Falcons: TE Dion Sims, Michigan State
93. San Francisco 49ers: RB Christine Michael, Texas A&M
94. Baltimore Ravens: WR Da’Rick Rogers, Tennessee Tech
95. Houston Texans (compensatory selection): QB Zac Dysert, Miami (OH)
96. Kansas City Chiefs (compensatory selection): LB AJ Klein, Iowa State
97. Tennessee Titans (compensatory selection): CB DJ Hayden, Houston