Draft Breakdown » Wes Stueve

Round 1 Analysis

Wes Stueve — Mon, 02 May 2011 02:13:05 +0000

1. Carolina Panthers – Cameron Newton QB Auburn
Analysis: If there is one thing that the Panthers needed, it is a franchise quarterback who can be the face of the franchise, and Cam Newton without a doubt fits the bill. Newton has some of the best physical skills that the draft has ever seen, with the production to back it up. With a good offensive line and run game, Newton has some weapons to work with, though wide receiver needs to be upgraded. However, despite all of Newton’s physical gifts, he has many question marks. There is obviously the huge controversy over Newton’s father accepting money in return for Newton attending Auburn. Newton was also caught cheating multiple times while he was at Florida, and was also arrested for being in possession of a stolen laptop. Newton also played in an offense where his decision making was limited and he didn’t have to make many reads. Overall, it is hard to blame Carolina for looking to address the quarterback position, but Newton is certainly a boom or bust pick, that could either make the Panthers look like geniuses, or the team that ignored all the warning signs.

Grade: C

2. Denver Broncos – Von Miller OLB Texas A&M
Analysis: Going into the draft, everyone knew that this would be either Miller or Marcell Dareus, and the Broncos opted for the speedy pass rusher. Miller will play weakside linebacker as Denver converts from a 3-4 defense to a 4-3. Though Miller has never played this position before, he projects well to the scheme and should become a dynamic three-down defender, rushing the quarterback from defensive end in passing situations. Miller is considered the draft’s most talented edge rusher, and should give the team another sack artist to pair up with Elvis Dummerville. The biggest concern with Miller here is how well he projects to playing linebacker in a 4-3 defense. He has very limited experience dropping back in coverage, but he has the athleticism and ability to become excellent at it. The Broncos were in a tough spot with the 2nd pick and didn’t have any great options, but Miller is a solid selection.

Grade: B+

3. Buffalo Bills – Marcell Dareus DE Alabama
Analysis: As the Bills continue their conversion to a 3-4 defense, they add yet another player for their front seven. Dareus excelled in Alabama’s 3-4 defense and will have the same role in Buffalo. Despite not being incredibly explosive, the 319 pound Dareus is a great overall player who should be a force for the Bills. Few players are as well rounded as Dareus is, and he has both the size and strength to stop the run and the quickness to rush the passer. Though Dareus is an extremely versatile player who can play in any defensive scheme, 5-tech in a 3-4 is actually his best fit. In a 3-4, his lack of elite burst won’t hurt him, and he can use his strength and overall athleticism to dominate while also taking up blockers.

Grade: A

4. Cincinnati Bengals – A.J. Green WR Georgia
Analysis: Green is arguably the best player in the draft, and fits a big need for the Bengals. With Chad Ochocinco and Terrell Owens likely on their way out, the team desperately needed a target on offense. Green is the best wide receiver prospect since Calvin Johnson and has the ability to be the league’s best. The 6’4” 211 former Bulldog catches everything in sight, and is an extremely dangerous weapon. Few college receivers are as skilled at getting open and running precise routes. However, Carson Palmer has threatened to retire if he is not granted his trade request, and it appears he is serious. If Palmer is indeed done in Cincinnati, the Bengals have what is, without a doubt, the worst quarterback situation in the NFL. Blaine Gabbert has franchise quarterback potential, but the Bengals chose to take their chances on Palmer returning and instead add a weapon for him.

Grade: B

5. Arizona Cardinals – Patrick Peterson CB LSU
Analysis: At this point, the Cardinals’ main target in Von Miller is already off the board and it is nearly impossible to address a need without reaching, so they instead go with a BPA approach and select Patrick Peterson. Although Arizona already possesses a top cornerback in Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, Peterson is really the only option for the team. Peterson is an incredible athlete and one of the draft’s top two players. Arguably the best defensive back prospect since Sean Taylor, Peterson is a physical freak with unlimited potential. With a secondary of Rodgers-Cromartie, Peterson, Adrian Wilson and Kerry Rhodes, the Cardinals should have an elite secondary capable of shutting down the best of passing attacks. However, no secondary can cover forever and Arizona’s pass rush is severely lacking. Ideally, the team would have added a threat off the edge here, but the value simply was not there, and instead they selected one of the draft’s best players.

Grade: A

6. Atlanta Falcons (from CLE) – Julio Jones WR Alabama
Analysis: In one of the most shocking moves of draft day, the Falcons jumped up 21 spots to select the electrifying Julio Jones. While Jones is definitely worthy of the selection and fits a need for Atlanta, it is highly debatable whether he is worth the price. The Falcons were forced to surrender their 1st round pick 2nd round pick, 4th round pick this year, as well as their 1st and 4th in 2012. Jones is an incredibly physical player with big play potential. He is great at working underneath and with his YAC ability is a great fit in Atlanta’s west coast offense. It won’t be long before Roddy White and Jones combine for one of, if not the, best wide receiver combinations in the NFL. The Falcons already had a dangerous offense, and the addition of Jones only makes it more lethal, but the team has other needs to address. Defensive end remains a huge area of concern, and the team will have a hard time adding a quality player there without their 2nd round pick. While the Falcons may have given up too much in the deal, the potential of Jones on Atlanta’s offense is definitely exciting.

Grade: C+

7. San Francisco 49ers – Aldon Smith OLB Missouri
Analysis: The 49ers were definitely in need of a pass rusher, and Smith isn’t a terrible value at 7, so the pick isn’t necessarily a bad one. Smith is a very athletic edge rusher with the potential to be a dynamic sack artist. Though he is risky, Smith has the perfect size and skill set for outside linebacker in San Francisco’s 3-4 defense. However, Alex Smith has proven that he doesn’t deserve to be a starting quarterback and the 49ers could have added Blaine Gabbert to fill that role. Jim Harbaugh is likely taking the strategy of finding a quarterback later in the draft, but the golden rule of the draft is to never pass on a franchise quarterback if you are need of one. Gabbert could be exactly that, and even if Smith develops into a great player, the team may end up regretting passing on the quarterback.

Grade: B-

8. Tennessee Titans – Jake Locker QB Washington
Analysis: With the Vince Young experiment over, the Titans start a new era with a very different signal caller. Locker is a tough, hard working, extremely high character quarterback with limitless potential. With a cannon arm and great speed, there is nothing on the field that Locker does not have the ability to do. Despite Locker’s potential, he is still raw and would greatly benefit from time on the bench behind a veteran. Locker has a few bad habits from his time at Washington to break, and it is much easier to do so from the bench. However, few people rank Locker as the best available quarterback here, and quite honestly, Blaine Gabbert probably would have probably been the better pick. It’s hard to call the pick a huge reach, but it definitely was not a good value pick. In the end it is hard to complain too much about this pick given Locker’s overall ability and potential as a franchise quarterback.

Grade: B

9. Dallas Cowboys – Tyron Smith OT USC
Analysis: The offensive line is quite possibly the Cowboys’ worst unit, and Smith is a good value at nine. Smith is an incredibly athletic tackle, with freakish upside. His 36” arms give him a huge advantage against defenders, and he is also surprisingly strong for his size. Smith will likely start out at right tackle with Doug Free manning the blind side, but projects as the team’s future left tackle. Dallas will probably look to bulk Smith up for him to play in their power blocking scheme. Smith is a bit thin at under 310 pounds, but has the frame to bulk up some.

Grade: B+

10. Jacksonville Jaguars (from WAS) – Blaine Gabbert QB Missouri
Analysis: It’s pretty evident that David Garrard has taken the Jaguars as far as he can, and the team looks to add its franchise quarterback here. If the team ever wants to advance beyond mediocre, an upgrade is needed. Gabbert is a talented player who should actually be better in the pros than he was in college. Though he isn’t as physically talented as some of the other quarterbacks, Gabbert makes up for it with his physical ability and was actually many people’s top ranked signal caller. While Gabbert has significant potential, he is raw and would benefit from time on the bench, which he should get in Jacksonville. With a decent offensive line and Maurice Jones-Drew to help him out, the cupboard isn’t bear, but the team should look to add some talent at wide receiver. This selection cements Jacksonville as one of multiple teams on the rise.

Grade: A

11. Houston Texans – J.J. Watt DE Wisconsine
Analysis: As Houston switches to a 3-4 defense under new defensive coordinator Wade Phillips, some new personnel is needed. Watt is an excellent fit for the scheme the Texans will be running, and should contribute immediately. While he is at his best against the run, Watt is also a capable pass rusher and will contribute in all facets of the game. But most importantly, the addition of Watt gives Houston versatility in how they can use Mario Williams. With another defensive end, Phillips can move Williams around and possibly play him quite a bit standing up. However, the Texans are in desperate need of help in the defensive backfield and Prince Amukamara may have been a good fit. Robert Quinn would have also been ideal as a 3-4 outside linebacker. Overall, Watt is a very solid pick here who solidifies the team’s defensive line while giving them much more schematic versatility.

Grade: A-

12. Minnesota Vikings – Christian Ponder QB Florida State
Analysis: Though the Vikings desperately needed a quarterback, it is hard to justify Ponder this high. Minnesota is one of the most talented teams in the NFL, and quarterback is the only position that is truly holding them back. Look for the Vikings to add a veteran to start in the short term because it is highly unlikely that Ponder could lead the team to the playoffs in his first season. The Florida State product is a smart, athletic player with good accuracy. However, Ponder lacks great arm strength and could limit an offense in the NFL. It’s impossible to argue with the position, but it would have been ideal if the Vikings could have traded back and still selected Ponder.

Grade: B-

13. Detroit Lions – Nick Fairley DT Auburn
Analysis: Most people were expecting the Lions to either add Prince Amukamara or Robert Quinn here, but the team instead decided to pair Nick Fairley with Ndmaukong Suh. Fairley isn’t the best fit next to Suh, as both are better off as 3 techniques, but the duo has incredible potential. If anyone can figure out how to use Fairley and Suh, it is head coach Jim Schwartz, who is a big of a defensive line guru. Fairley is a dynamic pass rusher who has the potential to truly dominate, but he is extremely risky. The value is great here at 13, but the team definitely has bigger needs with Suh and Corey Williams already at defensive tackle. However, the sheer value and potential of the pick makes it difficult to criticize.

Grade: B

14. St. Louis Rams – Robert Quinn DE North Carolina
Analysis: The Rams don’t have much at defensive end after Chris Long, and Quinn is an excellent value outside of the top 10. In fact, it could be argued that only wide receiver was a bigger team need than defensive end. Arguably a top 5 pick, Quinn has huge potential as a pass rusher, and should be a great player in Steve Spagnuolo’s defensive scheme. Quinn was suspended for the 2010 season along with many of his teammates, and if he had played, might have been the first pick of the draft. Though he has the most upside of any defensive end since Mario Williams, Quinn is not great against the run and is still raw. But even with his flaws, Quinn is ready to start immediately and he will be noticed.

Grade: A+

15. Miami Dolphins – Mike Pouncey C Florida
Analysis: Interior offensive line is definitely a big need for the Dolphins, but Pouncey simply isn’t a good value here. Joe Berger really struggled at center last year, and Pouncey will be an upgrade, but in the top 15, he is hard to justify. Only elite interior line prospects are worthy of top 15 picks, and Pouncey is not one of them. Though his brother is an excellent player, Pouncey doesn’t have the same ability. However, Pouncey is a relatively safe pick who should be a starter for years to come, and that is hard to criticize.

Grade: C+

16. Washington Redskins (from JAC) – Ryan Kerrigan OLB Purdue
Analysis: As the Redskins continue their transition to a 3-4 defense, they add another pass rusher to play opposite of Brian Orakpo. Kerrigan is a big, strong linebacker with underrated athleticism. Few players have more dedication and play harder than Kerrigan, and he is the type of player a coach loves. However, he might be a bit too stiff to be effective in coverage and a 3-4 isn’t his best fit. Also, with Brian Orakpo already weak in coverage, it is difficult to add another player who may be weak in that area. But the position is a need and Kerrigan is unlikely to fail.

Grade: B-

Wes Stueve FINAL Mock Draft 2011

Wes Stueve — Thu, 28 Apr 2011 22:25:39 +0000

Just made it!

Cam Newton – QB – Auburn

Von Miller – OLB – Texas A&M

Marcell Dareus – DT – Alabama

AJ Green – WR – Georgia

Patrick Peterson – CB – LSU

Julio Jones – WR – Alabama

Blaine Gabbert – QB – Missouri

Jake Locker – QB – Washington

Tyron Smith – OT – USC

Cameron Jordan – DE – California

Aldon Smith – DE – Missouri

Robert Quinn – DE – North Carolina

Prince Amukamara – CB – Nebraska

Nick Fairley – DT – Auburn

Mike Pouncey – OG/C – Florida

Ryan Kerrigan – DE – Purdue

Scouting Report: Ben Ijalana

Wes Stueve — Wed, 27 Apr 2011 14:54:54 +0000

Ben Ijalana

Position:	OG	School:	Villanova
Height:	6’3 ⁵/₈"	Weight:	317 lbs
Class:	Senior	40 time:	5.20
All-Star Game:	None	Team Captain:	No

Draft Projection:

2nd – 3rd Round

Summary

Despite starting four years at left tackle, Ijalana is viewed as a project along the offensive line. Ijalana will likely be drafted to play either right tackle or guard, and will find his success as a road grading lineman regardless of which position he plays. His strength and run blocking abilities make him one of the draft’s best power linemen. Despite not projecting to left tackle, Ijalana could be drafted as early as the 2nd round. The former Wildcat would was unable to participate, and possibly raise his stock, in both the Senior Bowl and Scouting Combine due to a hernia. If he is able to improve on a few technical flaws, Ijalana could become a dominant player along the interior line, or a very good right tackle.

Pass Blocking

Ijalana is fast in getting out of his stance and shuffling into protection. With 36” arms, he is able to keep defenders at a distance. Despite being relatively quick, Ijalana has a tendency to move backwards and collapse the pocket instead of forcing the rusher around the edge. He also tends to play too high, limiting his leverage and ability to fend the power rush. While he isn’t slow, Ijalana displays poor footwork and quick defensive ends are often able to take advantage of him off the edge.

Run Blocking

Ijalana uses his superb strength to physical dominate defensive players. He explodes off the line of scrimmage and packs a powerful punch into the chest of the defender. His long arms are helpful as he pushes the defender away. His mean streak is evident as he pushes through blocks until the play is over. He does a good job of getting to the second level and finding a defender to eliminate. While he isn’t terrible in space, he isn’t overly quick and occasionally misses his man. His pad level is a minor issue as he sometimes fails to play as low as he should, but he is strong enough to make up for the loss of leverage and power through his blocks.

Awareness

Despite his experience, Ijalana doesn’t appear to have mastered blocking schemes and may struggle with more complicated blitzes in the NFL. His difficulty in recognizing stunts and other complex defenses occasionally causes him get taken advantage of in pass protection. Ijalana does, however, do a good job in sticking with his assignment in the run game. He also seems to recognize the correct man to block when moving in the open field.

Hand Placement

Technique is the main area where Ijalana really struggles and needs to improve. He tends to let his hands run too far outside and, in the process, lose leverage. Though he does possess an extremely powerful and quick punch, his hand placement is not up to par with most offensive tackles. If Ijalana can improve his technique, he could be come a truly dominant force, especially in the run game.

Mobility

Ijalana possesses the athleticism and quickness to be decent in the second level, but his footwork is holding him back. His change of direction ability is good for a player of his size, and he does a good job adjusting to defenders. He probably isn’t the best fit for a zone blocking scheme that requires him to pull and consistently play in space, but in a power scheme he could be above average.

Footwork

IJalana’s biggest problem is his sidestep in pass protection. Instead of shuffling to the side in order to drive the rusher to the outside, Ijalana takes a step back, allowing the rusher to collapse the pocket. In the run game, he needs to take shorter steps that would help him remain balanced and finish the play in the second level. He does, however, do a great job of shuffling his feet and powering through a block when engaged in the run game.

Additional Information

Ijalana is a very tough player who ignored injuries and started in 53 games during his career. Due to his inability to perform at the Senior Bowl, Ijalana faces questions about the competition he faced and his ability to fend off speed rushers. In the NFL, he may need to get in better shape as he carries some extra bulk around his midsection. During his time at Villanova, he helped the team to 40 wins and three consecutive playoff appearances during that time. A two time FCS All-American, Ijalana was the only FCS player to be on the Outland Trophy Watch List.

Production/Experience

2010: Started in 14 games.
2009: Started in 15 games.
2008: Started in 13 games.
2007: Started in 11 games.

Academics

Ijalana is a Criminal Justice major.

Awards & Honors

2010: Consensus First Team FCS All-American, Fist Team All-CAA
2009: Consensus Fist Team FCS All-American, First Team All-CAA
2008: First Team All-CAA

Prospect Video Clips

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Scouting Report: Ryan Mallett

Wes Stueve — Fri, 25 Feb 2011 17:47:13 +0000

Ryan Mallett

Position:	QB	School:	Arkansas
Height:	6’6 ³/₄"	Weight:	253 lbs
Class:	RS-Junior	40 time:	–
All-Star Game:	n/a	Team Captain:	No

Draft Projection:

Late 1st – Early 2nd Round

Summary

Mallett possesses one of the strongest arms in all of football, and has nearly unlimited upside. However, the former Razorback is extremely raw and needs refining in many areas of his game. Bobby Petrino’s offensive scheme allowed Mallett to make many short, simple throws with few reads and Mallett will need to adjust to an NFL offense upon being drafted. With his enormous potential, Mallett could be a late first round pick, but character concerns and erratic accuracy will likely drop him into the second round.

Decision Making

In 2010, Mallett’s decision making struggled despite a relatively simple offensive scheme. At times he forced the ball into coverage too much and threw a relatively high 12 interceptions. Overconfidence is his biggest fault, and he often thinks he can make a big play when it simply isn’t there. Mallett does a good job of reading coverages and his mistakes are rarely due to lack of awareness. However, Mallett did struggle when facing pro style defenses such as Ohio State, and his decision making will need reworking in the NFL.

Arm Strength

With one of the strongest arms in the recent memory of the draft, Mallett’s best attribute is his arm strength. There is no throw on the field that he can’t make, whether it is a long bomb or a crossing route across the middle. While many quarterbacks struggle with the deep out, Mallett effortlessly makes the throw. Occasionally, Mallett will make a jaw dropping throw down the field, demonstrating his incredible potential. With his less than stellar accuracy, Mallett uses his spectacular arm strength to sneak the ball into tight coverages.

Accuracy

Mallett’s biggest flaw as a quarterback is definitely his accuracy. Fulfilling the stereotype of the big armed quarterback, Mallett struggles with accuracy on short routes. He has a tendency to gun the ball over the receiver’s head, and his lack of finesse sometimes gets him in trouble. Even on a simple pass, Mallett will put too much into throw and the ball will sail on him, missing the receiver. Especially poor on the move, Mallett loses virtually all of his accuracy when out of the pocket.

Mechanics/Footwork

Mallett has a good, over the top throwing motion with a quick release. However, his footwork leaves much to be desired. He looks uncomfortable dropping back, and took the majority of his snaps out of the shotgun while at Arkansas. Often, he relies too much on his arm strength and doesn’t set his feet properly, many times throwing off his back foot. When moving in the pocket, Mallett will sometimes not reset his feet, leading to an inaccurate throw.

Mobility

Mallett is among the least mobile quarterbacks in the draft. In fact, it could be argued that his lack of athleticism is the most limiting aspect in his game. Mallett is slow and incapable of avoiding the rush in the pocket. When a pass rusher gets close, Mallett will often accept the sack instead of trying to step up and keep the play alive. With his incredibly slow feet, he is not a threat outside of the pocket, and is virtually incapable of rolling out. Without a good offensive line, Mallett is likely to struggle.

Release Quickness

Mallett has demonstrated a relatively quick release. Though it does not make up for his lack of mobility in the pocket, it does a good job of helping him to avoid pass rushers and limit sacks.

Additional Information

Concerns regarding Mallett’s character, including drug abuse, have been widespread. Though it is nothing more than speculation, it is something that could hurt Mallett’s draft stock. There have also been a myriad of incidents in which Mallett displayed questionable leadership, leading many to question his intangibles. Mallett originally started off at Michigan, playing behind Chad Henne. Once Michigan hired Rich Rodriguez as head coach, Mallett decided to leave the school, forcing him to sit out the 2008 season.

Production/Experience

A two year starter at Arkansas, Mallett received plenty of playing time in his career. Mallett also saw some playing time at Michigan before leaving.

Academics

Mallett is just three credit hours away from completing his degree in Sociology and should graduate in the spring.

Awards & Honors

2010: All-SEC 2nd team. Premier Player of College Football Trophy Winner. SEC Offensive Player of the Week (vs South Carolina, Mississippi State).
2009: All-SEC 2nd team. Liberty Bowl MVP.

Career Stats

Year	Comp	Att	%	Yards	TD	INT	Sacks
2010	266	411	64.7	3869	32	12	25
2009	225	403	55.8	3627	30	7	24
2007	61	141	43.3	892	7	5	12

Prospect Video Clips

Coming soon!

“Way Too Early” Mock Draft – Nov. 1st

Wes Stueve — Wed, 03 Nov 2010 16:18:18 +0000

Wes Stueve brings you his second mock draft, where he breaks down how he thinks things would shake out if the season ended today in our "Way Too Early" mock draft series.

1. Carolina Panthers

AJ Green – WR – Georgia*

With only the 31-year-old Steve Smith at wide receiver, the Panthers are in need of some more weapons to help out former Notre Dame quarterback Jimmy Clausen. Dwayne Jarrett was released after a second DUI arrest, and while a good player, Smith is not good enough to make up an entire receiving corps. Green is a great vertical threat with excellent leaping ability and athleticism. Likely the best receiving prospect since Calvin Johnson, Green is unlikely to fall out of the top five picks.

2. Buffalo Bills

Andrew Luck – QB – Stanford*

Buffalo lacks a face of the franchise and anything to truly get behind. A new regime drafted C.J. Spiller in 2010, and now looks to add a franchise quarterback. Luck has tremendous talent, intangibles and an impressive résumé. The son of a former NFL quarterback, Luck has been tutored by Stanford head coach Jim Harbaugh. Luck has a strong arm and good accuracy, and offers a leader to a desperate Bills franchise.

3. San Francisco 49ers

Jake Locker – QB – Washington

Former #1 overall pick Alex Smith has struggled despite the skill players around him, and it appears that the time to draft a quarterback has come in San Francisco. A combination of Michael Crabtree, Vernon Davis, Frank Gore and a growing offensive line make the 49ers a great fit for Jake Locker. Locker has great athleticism and is rumored to run the 40-yard-dash in 4.5 seconds, while weighing in at 6’3” 225. Locker has a strong arm and excellent intangibles, but may need some time to live up to his potential.

4. Detroit Lions

Patrick Peterson – CB – LSU*

The Lions have made strides along the defensive line, but now it is time to address the secondary. Patrick Peterson is an athletic specimen, with a 40-yard-dash time rumored to be in the 4.3s, while also possessing an imposing frame at 6’1” 220. Peterson has the potential to be a true lock down cornerback with his size, athleticism, and technique. Peterson was likely the best cornerback in 2009 as a sophomore, and that is no different this year.

5. Cleveland Browns

Julio Jones – WR – Alabama*

It is painfully offense that the Browns don’t have the playmakers needed to have a productive offense. With no elite quarterback available, Cleveland turns to Julio Jones to help shore up wide receiver. Jones has great size, athleticism and hands, and is exactly what the Browns are lacking. With great YAC ability, Jones is a perfect fit for the West Coast Offense that team President Mike Holmgren is installing in Cleveland.

6. Dallas Cowboys

Marcell Dareus – DE – Alabama*

It is no secret that the Cowboys could use help at defensive end, and Dareus fits exactly what Dallas is looking for. A defensive end in Alabama’s 3-4 defense, Dareus would continue playing the same position for the Cowboys. With both the strength to stop the run and the quickness to rush the passer, Dareus is perfect for Dallas’s one gap 3-4 defense.

7. New England Patriots (from Oakland)

Allen Bailey – DE – Miami

With an aging defensive line, the Patriots look to add to what has been the strength of their defense for years. Richard Seymour was traded to Oakland, and Ty Warren has struggled with injuries, making an end a likely selection. Bailey is a freak athlete, weighing in around 290 pounds with rumored 4.7 speed. Though his technique needs work, Bailey’s motor and physical prowess makes him a potential stud at defensive end in the Patriots’ 3-4 defense.

8. Denver Broncos

Prince Amukamara – CB – Nebraska

Champ Bailey is aging, and after trading 2009 second round pick Antonio Smith, the Broncos are in need of a cornerback. Denver’s defense has been awful, and at this point, Josh McDaniels needs the best defensive player he can get. Amukamara may have been the top cornerback in 2010, and is an excellent prospect. With the size, speed, and hips to be a top corner, Amukamara is not far behind Patrick Peterson, and is a legitimate top 5 talent.

9. Jacksonville Jaguars

Da’Quan Bowers – DE – Clemson*

Former first round draft pick Derrick Harvey is officially a bust after being benched this week, and though Aaron Kampman is a good player, the Jaguars have a huge need at defensive end. Bowers struggled in his first two seasons at Clemson after being ranked as the number one recruit in the nation. However, in 2010 Bowers already has 10 sacks and is dominating offensive lines. Now that he is living up to his potential, Bowers could be off the board early in the 2011 Daft.

10. Cincinnati Bengals

Robert Quinn – DE – North Carolina*

Defensive end isn’t a huge need for the Bengals, but the team has lacked much of a pass rush thus far in 2010. Antwan Odom is a legitimate player on one side, but Robert Geathers is far from anything special. Though the team did draft Michael Johnson and Carlos Dunlap, neither has stepped up as a starter. Quinn is a great athlete with the potential to become a top flight pass rusher, something Cincinnati desperately needs.

11. Arizona Cardinals

Ryan Mallett – QB – Arkansas*

After the Cardinals released former top 10 pick Matt Leinart, it became obvious that the team would look to address the position soon. Derek Anderson has already been ousted as the starter by UDFA Max Hall. Mallett possesses great size and a rocket arm, and has the potential to be an elite quarterback. However, concerns about his accuracy and system remain, and Mallett could fall some on draft day.

12. St. Louis Rams

Nick Fairley – DT – Auburn*

Fairley is having an incredible season in 2010, and the only reason he isn’t off the board is due to possible schematic limitations. The Rams have a need for a playmaker at defensive tackle and are lucky to have Fairley available. A true one gap penetrator, Fairley isn’t a great fit in every defense, but for Steve Spagnuolo’s scheme, he is a perfect fit.

13. San Diego Chargers

Cameron Heyward – DE – Ohio State

Luis Castillo has had some injury problems, and has been inconsistent with his play. After releasing Jamal Williams, the Chargers began to revamp their defensive line, and Heyward continues the process. Heyward has great size, and is the prototype 3-4 defensive end. Possessing surprising quickness, Heyward is a capable pass rusher, as well as an excellent run defender.

14. Minnesota Vikings

Adrian Clayborn – DE – Iowa

Though not a big need for the Vikings, Clayborn is a great value outside of the top 10, and difficult to pass on. With Ray Edwards possibly leaving in free agency, it wouldn’t be shocking if Minnesota did something to address the position. Clayborn isn’t an incredible athlete, but he has a high motor and is solid against both the run and the pass.

15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Mark Ingram – RB – Alabama*

Tampa Bay may have the makings of a good offense with second year pro Josh Freeman at quarterback, and rookie wide receiver Mike Williams. However, the Buccaneer’s run game has struggled, and a new running back is obviously needed. The 2009 Heisman Trophy winner, Ingram is an excellent talent and a steal at 15. Possessing good size, power and speed, Ingram is an asset in every aspect of the game, and can contribute immediately.

16. Seattle Seahawks

Michael Floyd – WR – Notre Dame*

The T.J. Houshmanzadeh signing didn’t work out, and though Mike Williams has been a pleasant surprise, but the team has gotten virtually no production out of their other receivers. Golden Tate was a second round pick in 2010, and should eventually become a nice player in Seattle. Floyd has great size and catching ability, and offers a physical red zone presence. Though he doesn’t have great separation ability, Floyd is a deep threat and is capable of stretching the field.

“Way too early” Mock Draft 4.0

Wes Stueve — Sun, 03 Oct 2010 01:20:06 +0000

New writer Wes Stueve gets his feet wet with his first mock draft for Draft Breakdown. Wes breaks down how he thinks things would shake out if the season ended today in our "Way Too Early" mock draft series.

1. Buffalo Bills

Andrew Luck – QB – Stanford*

For years, the Bills have been helpless at quarterback. It isn’t necessarily due to lack of effort; they have used several high picks on the position. Buffalo has a few playmakers on offense in C.J. Spiller, Marshawn Lynch and Lee Evans, but lack a quarterback to get them the ball. Luck is being talked about by some as the best quarterback prospect in the past decade. With a combination of excellent accuracy, arm strength and smarts, he is nearly a perfect prospect.

2. Cleveland Browns

Jake Locker – QB – Washington

One could argue that there has been no team worse at quarterback than the Cleveland Browns over the past decade. After the failure of Brady Quinn, the team is once again without hope at the position, barring a huge surprise from 3rd round pick, Colt McCoy. Locker burst onto the scene in 2009, throwing for more than 20 touchdowns in Steve Sarkisian’s pro style offense. An incredible athlete, the 6’3” 226 Locker is believe to run a 4.5 40-yard-dash. Also possessing a great arm, Locker can make any thrown on the field. Though he has struggled early in 2010, Locker should revert back to his old self, and reestablish himself as an elite prospect.

3. St. Louis Rams

AJ Green – WR – Georgia*

Currently, Sam Bradford has virtually no receiving weapons. Donnie Avery has yet to break out, and after tearing his ACL, will miss all of 2010. Green has never put up dominating stats, but has shown signs of being a dominant player. With elite speed and athleticism, Green is arguably the best wide receiver prospect since Calvin Johnson in 2007. Green is, however, facing a four game suspension from the NCAA for selling a jersey to an agent, and it remains to be seen if this could hurt him.

4. Detroit Lions

Patrick Peterson – CB – LSU*

Detroit has one of the worst secondaries in the NFL, and has for quite some time. Louis Delmas is a young, talented player, but the unit has little other upside. Peterson is one of the best athletes and players to see the draft in quite some time. Weighing it at over 220 pounds, Peterson runs the 40-yard-dash in less than 4.4 seconds. But Peterson is more than just an athlete, and is exceptional in man coverage. Likely a better prospect than Joe Haden a year ago, it is highly unlikely that Peterson falls out of the top 10 picks.

5. Carolina Panthers

Robert Quinn – DE – North Carolina*

With Julius Peppers now on the Chicago Bears, the Panthers have lost their only legitimate pass rushing threat. Everette Brown and Greg Hardy are both in tow, but neither is producing up to his talent. Quinn is an exceptional athlete, capable of being one of the league’s best. After racking up 11 sacks in 2009, Quinn became known as not only one of college football’s most athletic pass rushers, but as one of its most productive.

6. New England Patriots (from Oakland)

Michael Floyd – WR – Notre Dame*

Randy Moss has made it clear that he does not expect to remain a Patriot for long, and without Moss, New England lacks a number one receiving threat. In previous years, Bill Belichick and the Patriots had been reluctant to spend money on high draft picks, but a rookie cap may change things in 2011. Floyd has exceptional hands and can go up for the ball and grab it. He lacks game breaking speed, but has the route running ability to get open.

7. Jacksonville Jaguars

Ryan Mallett – QB – Arkansas*

David Garrard has shown that he is not the guy to take Jacksonville to the playoffs. With Maurice Jones-Drew, Mike Sims-Walker, and a developing offensive line, there is some talent on Jacksonville’s offense. Mallett is arguably the most talented quarterback in this class, but he needs work, and has a high bust potential. Though he must improve his accuracy, he has a cannon arm and is capable of being one of the league’s best.

8. San Francisco 49ers

Prince Amukamara – CB – Nebraska

Nate Clements never lived up to his contract in San Francisco, and has lost his starting job several times with the team. Amukamara is not as good of a prospect as Patrick Peterson, but he is still among the best cornerbacks in the past five years. Weighing in over 200 pounds, Amukamara is a physical player who is at his best in press coverage.

9. New York Giants

Marcell Dareus – DE – Alabama*

The Giants run defense has struggled as of late, and the defensive tackle position must be addressed. Chris Canty has not met expectations, and the unit has struggled. Dareus plays defensive end in Alabama’s 3-4 defense, but is more than capable of moving inside to defensive tackle. Defensive coordinator Perry Fewell’s scheme requires a penetrating defensive tackle, a role which Dareus should excel in.

10. Denver Broncos

Dont’a Hightower – ILB – Alabama*

After being linked to Rolando McClain last year, the Broncos grab the arguably more talented Hightower, also of the Crimson Tide. Hightower has developed a reputation of a playmaker in Nick Saban’s defensive scheme, and is capable of playing many roles. Alabama has used Hightower as a defensive end occasionally, due to his pass rushing ability, but he is also a capable run defender, and a perfect fit for Denver’s 3-4 defense.

11. Arizona Cardinals

Christian Ponder – QB – Florida State

This is probably a reach, but Derek Anderson has proven that the Cardinals need a quarterback. Arizona is loaded at the skill positions, but needs a signal caller to get them the ball. Ponder isn’t a great prospect, but he is accurate and typically a smart player. With the talent in Arizona, he should be able to develop and eventually succeed.

12. Washington Redskins

Mark Ingram – RB – Alabama*

Through the early part of the 2010 season, Mike Shanahan’s run game has not followed him over from Denver. Though he typically avoids spending high picks on running backs, Shanahan may have to give in here. Ingram is a very talented running back who lacks any true weaknesses. A capable receiver and runner, Ingram can be used in many different ways and is a great fit for Shanahan’s zone blocking scheme on offense

13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Adrian Clayborn – DE – Iowa

Tampa Bay has lacked a pass rush since the days of Simeon Rice’s prime, and Clayborn could help to get the unit back on track. Clayborn is a well rounded defensive end, great at stopping the run and rushing the passer. Schematically diverse, the Buccaneers could move Clayborn around and even play him some at defensive tackle.

14. Seattle Seahawks

Da’Quan Bowers – DE – Clemson*

Even prior to trading Darryl Tapp, the Seahawks were hurting for a pass rusher. Now the teams rush is virtually nonexistent. Bowers is a former #1 recruit in the nation, and is a great defensive end prospect. Weighing in around 280 pounds, Bowers has the size to stop the run, while also possessing the athleticism to rush the passer. Bowers has yet to produce up to his talent, but if he can turn it around this year, could end up going even higher.

15. San Diego Chargers

Julio Jones – WR – Alabama*

Vincent Jackson appears to be on his way out of San Diego, and though Malcolm Floyd is a good receiver, he is not a number one target. Jones lacks elite speed, but has a knack for getting open and making fantastic plays. Though he has had some concentration issues, Jones consistently makes big plays, and is a fantastic blocker. With his great size and athleticism, Jones should fit in fine with the rest of the Chargers’ offense.

16. Minnesota Vikings

Bruce Carter – OLB – North Carolina

It is difficult to find a huge weakness on the Vikings, so they go with the best player available here, at a position capable of being upgraded. Carter is arguably the best coverage linebacker to hit the draft in the past five years. Though he isn’t a force against the run, he is capable of dropping back like a safety and making plays on the ball.

Separating the Quarterbacks

Wes Stueve — Wed, 29 Sep 2010 16:21:31 +0000

Even in the early stages of preparation for the 2011 NFL Draft, a quarterback battle is waging. In contrast to last year’s draft, where there was only two quarterbacks selected in the first round, there appear to be three players vying for the number one spot. After showing tremendous progress in his first year under Steve Sarkisian at Washington, Jake Locker was already slated as the number one quarterback, and likely the first pick of the 2011 draft before play even started this season. However, a combination of disappointing play by Locker and the continuing emergence of Andrew Luck and Ryan Mallett have sprung a debate.

Locker brings incredible athleticism, as well as prototypical size and ability to the table. At 6’3” 226, Locker is rumored to run a 40-yard-dash time in a staggering 4.5 seconds. Adding to his athletic prowess, Locker was drafted in the 10th round of the 2009 MLB Draft by the Los Angeles Angels, and signed a 6-year contract. However, Locker is more than just an athlete. He has demonstrated excellent arm strength, as well as improving mechanics and accuracy.

On the other hand, Locker has made some poor decisions and needs some refinement mentally. Many believe that upon being drafted, he will need a couple of years to sit behind a veteran quarterback before being ready to start. And though his accuracy has improved, it is not elite, and far from the level of Sam Bradford’s in 2009.

Stanford’s Andrew Luck showed some promising signs as a RS Freshman, but was not unanimously viewed as an elite prospect. Many were concerned as to how well he would play without Heisman candidate Toby Gerhart at running back. Through the early part of the 2010 season, Luck has gone so far to exceed the hype. His accuracy is better than anyone expected, and his mechanics have obviously been refined under Jim Harbaugh. Luck’s arm strength is rare for someone with such good accuracy and decision making, and is among the best in college football. At 6’4” 235, Luck has perfect size to play the position. As well as having a nearly perfect physical profile for a quarterback, he also has elite intangibles and academics. Luck is blessed with terrific bloodlines; his dad Oliver played quarterback for the Houston Oilers.

It is difficult to find weaknesses in Luck’s game. One of the few things that could hurt him is his lack of experience. Underclassmen at quarterback are typically frowned upon by NFL teams. Others are somewhat concerned about the situation Luck has at Stanford. Head Coach Jim Harbaugh is widely respected as an offensive guru, and the talent surrounding Luck is excellent. However, many other quarterbacks have had similar advantages, and they were still considered elite prospects. Also, as a RS Sophomore, it is far from a guarantee that Luck will declare for the draft. The uncertainty regarding a lockout only makes it less likely. However, if it is all but set in stone that he will be a top 5 pick, the Cardinal will likely declare.

Ryan Mallett has possibly the best physical tools for a quarterback since JaMarcus Russell. The Arkansas quarterback stands in at 6’7” 240 and arguably has the strongest arm in football. Under Bobby Petrinio, Mallett has put up incredible numbers. Mallett originally played at Michigan, but transferred when Rich Rodriguez set to institute his spread offense. Since joining Arkansas, the gunslinger has drawn comparisons to Ben Roethlisberger due to his size and arm strength. There is no doubt that Mallett has the potential to be the best passer in the game, but he does need some work.

In Bobby Petrino’s offensive scheme, high completion percentages are expected. The scheme is also famous for making average quarterback prospects, such as Brian Brohm, seem elite. However, Mallett has not put up elite completion percentages, and his accuracy is suspect. When watching Mallett play, he will make several staggering throws that only a few players could make. But then he will also miss on a few easy passes that a high schooler could complete. The young quarterback has to become more consistent, or else he will be compared to the always frustrating Derek Anderson, instead of Roethlisberger. Also, there are murmurings of character concerns surrounding Mallett, and his intangibles are far from elite.

All three of the mentioned quarterbacks have been mentioned as an option to be the 1st pick of the 2011 draft. Opinions on them vary from sure top 5 pick, to late 1st rounder. After being considered the likely 1st overall pick, Locker has dropped a bit among draft experts. After an especially awful performance against Nebraska, Luck has almost unanimously passed him. It is easy to find weaknesses in Locker’s game, while it is hard to find something that isn’t a strength in Luck’s. Then there is the wildcard in Ryan Mallett. Mallett’s potential is mind blowing, but he is raw and needs work. However, his upside will likely make him a high pick. As of this point, it is difficult not to have Andrew Luck as the top draft eligible signal caller. Locker appears to be second for the moment, but a few more awful games could cause him to freefall. By the time the draft rolls around, it would not be surprising to see the quarterback class compared to that of 2004, when Eli Manning, Phillip Rivers and Ben Roethlisberger all went in the top 11 picks. Only time will tell if the class of 2011 will be as successful.