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Justin Higdon’s 2015 NFL Draft Hidden Gems – Aaron Wilmer QB Delaware Valley

Written by Justin Higdon, Senior Draft Analyst on April 27, 2015

Aaron Wilmer

Aaron Wilmer School: Delaware Valley Position: QB Height: 5’ 9 7/8” Weight: 210 Production Tier: Green (see explanation here) 40-yard: 4.72 Vertical: 31” Broad: 106” Three-cone: 7.39 Short Shuttle: 4.58


Justin Higdon’s 2015 NFL Draft Big Board

Written by Justin Higdon, Senior Draft Analyst on April 27, 2015

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From August 29, 2014, when Ole Miss defeated Boise State, to last Sunday night when I watched one last video here at draftbreakdown.com, I have viewed an embarrassing amount of college football. A nerdy amount. I also traveled to St. Petersburg, Florida in January for East-West Shrine Game practices. Then I box score scouted, and crunched the numbers on over 600 scouting combine and pro day performances. The goal this year was to implement a three-pronged evaluation process for the 2015 NFL Draft class. One that combined “tape,” player production, and athletic testing, in hopes of scaling back on some of the subjectivity involved, and better predicting success at the NFL level. Time will tell how well this recipe tastes, but at least I’ve enjoyed all of the cooking that resulted in 247 draftable grades, many more undrafted free agents, several “Undraftables,” and sadly, a number (read more…)


Joe Marino’s 2015 NFL Draft Board

Written by Joe Marino, Senior NFL Draft Analyst on April 27, 2015

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*All times/measurements were taken from the NFL Scouting Combine if they were a participant. Other times are from Pro Days as reported by nfldraftscout.com

*For notes on all draftable players, please see my positional rankings here:  Positional Rankings

Rank NAME College Pos Pos Rank Grade Round HT WT ARM HND 40 225 VT BJ 3-CN 20YD-S 1 Leonard Williams Southern Cal DL 1 9.49 1 6050 302 34 5/8 10 5/8 4.97 29.5 106 7.59 4.53 2 Kevin White West Virginia WR 1 9.1 1 6030 215 32 5/8 9 1/4 4.35 23 36.5 123 6.92 4.18 3 Jameis Winston Florida State QB 1 9 1 6036 231 32 9 3/8 4.97 28.5 103 7.16 4.36 4 Alvin Dupree Kentucky EP 1 8.95 1 6040 269 32 5/8 9 3/4 4.56 42 138 7.49 4.47 5 Amari Cooper Alabama WR 2 8.85 (read more…)


Joe Marino’s Final Side-By-Side Mock Draft

Written by Joe Marino, Senior NFL Draft Analyst on April 26, 2015

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FRG 2015 NFL Draft Guide NOW AVAILABLE!

Written by Bryan Perez on April 25, 2015

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The FRG 2015 NFL Draft Guide is now available for FREE via the link below.  I have made the Guide a free download as an expression of my gratitude to all the members of the NFL Draft community for the support you’ve given to DraftBreakdown.com over the years, and especially since I became a co-owner in January.

The Guide contains 150 player overviews, my top-100 Big Board (based only on the players I’ve evaluated), and positional rankings.  I did not include a Mock Draft; My final Mock will be posted here on Monday (and submitted in defense of my Huddle Report title).

Again, thank you!  Remember:  This Guide is intended to be a supplement to the already great works that have been published by the likes of Matt Waldman, Kyle Crabbs, Dane Brugler and many others.  Take your hard-earned money and purchase their products.  You won’t be disappointed!

NOTE:  Make (read more…)


Evolution of Evaluation: 5 things I’ve learned Since 2014

Written by Kyle Crabbs, Senior Draft Analyst on April 24, 2015

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The true mark of quality draft evaluators is not necessarily their “hit rate”.  The general success of draft projections in itself is an inexact science; each and every person who looks at players does so through their own unique scope of valued traits and without the context of a system/philosophical structure that can be found in NFL front offices. To boot, player evaluation done prior to the draft does not take into context the landing spot of players, which can drastically change their projection when factoring in what it is they will be asked to do throughout the life of their rookie contract and potentially beyond. When these factors are all wrapped together with the fact that the outside world is lacking in a number of notable factors (medicals, player personality/background, etc.) and expecting external draft evaluators to hit on a very high percentage of their evaluations is a difficult (read more…)


Luke Easterling’s Positional Rankings: S

Written by Luke Easterling, Senior Draft Analyst on April 24, 2015

Damarious Randall

1. Landon Collins | Alabama | 6’0″, 228 | Grade: 1st Round

Once considered to be a potential top-10 pick, Collins more likely to go in the latter part of the first round, and with good reason. As a box safety, Collins delivers all the tools and skills NFL teams are looking for. He struggles in coverage and would be a terrible fit as a single-high center-fielder, but with the right team and right scheme, he could be a Pro Bowler.

2. Eric Rowe | Utah | 6’1″, 205 | Grade: 1st Round

Listed as a corner by most, I project Rowe to be a better fit at safety in the NFL. He’s still raw and stiff in man coverage, but he has the size, instincts and tackling ability to thrive on the back end. He’s got plenty of developing to do, but he’s worthy of a 1st-round pick.

(read more…)


Joe Marino’s Offensive Tackle Rankings for the 2015 NFL Draft

Written by Joe Marino, Senior NFL Draft Analyst on April 23, 2015

LSU Florida Football

First Round Grades

1. Brandon Scherff, Iowa – Scherff is an outstanding run blocker. His technique, hand placement and leg drive are incredible. He generates outstanding power from his legs that shifts through his hips to his arms. He has a strong initial punch and creates huge running lanes off the line of scrimmage. Scherff is a good blocker in space who anticipates where linebackers will be and seals them off with authority. He can also break down in space against secondary players to block them downfield. In pass protection, Scherff flashes the skills needed to be sound at the next level. He demonstrates good foot speed and the ability to mirror an opposing rusher and keep him away from his quarterback. Although he is far from a liability as a pass blocker, he isn’t as polished in this area as he is as a run blocker. His aggressive and (read more…)


John Owning’s 2015 NFL Draft Breakdown: Arik Armstead, DE, Oregon

Written by John Owning on April 23, 2015

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When you watch cutups of certain players it can be obvious as to how well, or not so well, they project to the NFL. They have a very distinct skill set that leads to an easy projection to the pro ranks. However, there are a lot of player’s whose projection is a bit more obscure.

These players navigate in the gray areas in a profession that deals in black and white. They excel in areas that are easily translatable to the NFL, but they struggle in other facets, which will give evaluators pause. These players are the reasons why NFL scouts, scouting directors and general managers are employed by each of the 32 teams. They are the difficult evaluations and they are what separate the good organizations from the great ones.

Oregon’s Arik Armstead is another player whose evaluation is difficult and obscure.

Armstead was a highly touted offensive tackle prospect (read more…)


2015 NFL Draft: Final UPC Standings

Written by Justin Higdon, Senior Draft Analyst on April 23, 2015

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The Unique Performance Calculation, or UPC, is the athletic metric I use in my draft evaluation process. The scores incorporate the results of each player’s bench press reps of 225 pounds; 40-yard dash, three-cone and 20-yard shuttle times; and vertical and broad jumps, and measure them in relation to the individual’s weight. In cases where a prospect has attempted a drill or drills at the scouting combine and his pro day, I have given him the benefit of the doubt and used the most favorable number. For those players who did not compete in every test, I used averages based on weight and position group in order to approximate the UPC score. A more in-depth explanation of the metric can be found here.

This year I accumulated results for over 600 prospects from the 2015 NFL Draft class. Quarterbacks are not included, as I don’t consider the UPC a (read more…)


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