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Laquon Treadwell and the Chipotle Paradox

Written by Jeff Risdon on February 22, 2016

The line at Chipotle or on the Laquon Treadwell bandwagon?

 

Ole Miss wideout Laquon Treadwell is widely regarded as the top prospect at his position for the 2016 NFL Draft. Most every national pundit and draftnik rates Treadwell as WR1 in a class where WR2-10 are eminently debatable.

As an evaluator, I pride myself on forging my own opinion. I trust my own eyes and what I’ve learned in covering every draft since 2004. I’ve sat with scouts watching games and picked their brains as to what they were looking at, not just the “what” but the “why”. Former players have helped me greatly in scouting specific positions, too.

Yet I’m not immune to the groupthink, nor do I try to be. If many evaluators I trust and respect are all seeing the same things in a player, I feel like I should probably see it too. It might take a different viewing lens to find it, perhaps watching (read more…)


Myles Jack Ahead of Schedule in Knee Rehab

Written by Bryan Perez on February 22, 2016

myles jack

UCLA linebacker Myles Jack is ahead of schedule as he rehabilitates his surgically repaired knee, according to Stephanie Loh of the Seattle Times.  While it’s uncertain whether Jack will participate in this week’s Scouting Combine, he’s expected to fully participate in UCLA’s pro day in March:

Physically, Jack is ahead of schedule. His body has transformed thanks to a strict nutrition plan that has cut sugar out. He’s improved his pass rushing skills, is moving confidently on his surgically-repaired knee, and has attempted a full battery of NFL combine drills in training.

John Thornton, Jack’s agent, said earlier this month that he has not yet decided which drills Jack will participate in at the NFL combine, but they are certain the linebacker will be ready to test in all the combine drills at UCLA’s pro day on March 15.

BP’s Take:  Myles Jack is widely considered to be one (read more…)


Mel Kiper Raises Strange Concern for Browns and Carson Wentz

Written by Bryan Perez on February 22, 2016

kiper

According to Cleveland.com’s Mary Kay Calbot, Mel Kiper suggested that the Cleveland Browns should have concerns as to whether Carson Wentz can handle playing in cold weather because he’s never played a collegiate game in conditions colder than 34 degrees:

Mel Kiper said one question about Carson Wentz for #Browns is that he hasn’t played in a game below 34 degrees

— Mary Kay Cabot (@MaryKayCabot) February 22, 2016

BP’s Take:  This is about as ridiculous as it gets and, quite frankly, is one of the most frustrating aspects of NFL Draft analysis.  I don’t know why Kiper singled out Wentz and the weather-related concerns.  Jared Goff (California) surely hasn’t experienced many frigid football games, nor have many early-round passers in years past (Jameis Winston, FSU; Andrew Luck, Stanford).  Wentz is a North Dakota kid, making it more than likely that he’s very (read more…)


Michigan State OT Jack Conklin on QB Connor Cook: He is a Leader.

Written by Joe Marino on February 20, 2016

cook rose

FOX Sports produced an article today with updates surrounding polarizing quarterback prospect Connor Cook and it appears that he is ready and fully healthy to perform at next week’s Scouting Combine in Indianapolis. Cook’s shoulder that was injured late in the 2015 season has been 100% healthy for about two weeks, per Fox Sports. In the article, Cook also stated that the shoulder injury prevented him from competing at the 2016 Reese’s Senior Bowl. The article also provides quotes from left tackle Jack Conklin who came to his quarterback’s defense regarding his leadership and not being voted as a team captain:

“I think it’s people reading him wrong,” Conklin said. “I know (people) expect him to be captain, but with our team, we have 12 eagles that our team voted. There are 12 guys that are voted by the team, and then (read more…)


Could Clemson CB Mackensie Alexander Fall to Day 3 of the 2016 NFL Draft?

Written by Joe Marino on February 19, 2016

ESPN NFL Draft

In Bleacher Report’s Matt Miller’s Pre-Combine Scouting Notebook, he dropped a scoop that gifted Clemson CB Mackensie Alexander is graded as a “Day 3″ player according to three different team scouts. The reasons given were his small size (listed at 5’11” and 195 pounds) and that Alexander never intercepted a pass in college.

Marino’s Take:  Well this comes as a major shock since most analysts have Alexander graded as one of the top three corners in the draft and a first round pick. Alexander, who I compared and contrasted in a recent article to Florida’s Vernon Hargreaves III, is someone that I view as a mid-to-late first round value. I truly do not feel size is an issue for Alexander; especially at his listed measurables. Even if at an official measurement he drops an inch and loses 10 pounds, it’s still not a concern of mine.

Mackensie (read more…)


College Scouting Director Expresses Concerns over Derrick Henry’s Workload

Written by Bryan Perez on February 19, 2016

derrick henry

Yahoo Sports’ Eric Edholm posted a fantastic article about Alabama RB Derrick Henry’s 2015 workload and how it will likely impact his 2016 NFL Draft experience.  Specifically, Edholm spoke with a Director of College Scouting who expressed concerns over Henry’s 400-plus touches and the history that suggests running back workloads like that rarely result in productive years the following season.

BP’s Take:  I’m not buying this.  At all.  I’m vehemently in the “it doesn’t matter” camp when weighing the impact of Henry’s workload in his NFL projection.  Yes, Henry’s 406 touches is an astronomical number, good for 11th-most in NCAAF history.  But his career carries are far from debilitating, as he’s only toted the rock a total of 603 times.  I’d be much more concerned if he was entering the NFL with more than 1,000 career carries; the wear and tear on his body would be an obvious (read more…)


To Run or Not To Run: The Question Facing Ole Miss WR Laquon Treadwell

Written by Bryan Perez on February 19, 2016

treadwell

Bleacher Report’s NFL Insider Jason Cole is reporting that Ole Miss WR Laquon Treadwell is considering skipping the 40-yard dash at the 2016 Scouting Combine despite many in the scouting community questioning whether he has the top-end speed required from a go-to target in the NFL.  Cole’s report suggests that Treadwell is debating skipping the drill because of a switch in trainers and the inability to be 100% ready by the Combine.

BP’s Take:  Much like we saw with Michigan State QB Connor Cook’s decision to pass on the 2016 Senior Bowl, a decision not to run by Treadwell will only hurt his overall draft stock.  Many are projecting Treadwell to run an average to potentially below average time in the 40, so unless he is brutally slow, choosing to run can only enhance his evaluation.  Let’s say Treadwell runs a 4.65 in Indy; would that (read more…)


Pro Football Focus Grades Christian Hackenberg as UDFA

Written by Bryan Perez on February 19, 2016

hackenberg

Pro Football Focus has been unveiling their 2016 NFL Draft rankings, with an intriguing name appearing among the UFDA’s in this year’s class of quarterbacks:  Penn State’s Christian Hackenberg.  Hackenberg isn’t the only surprising name that PFF lists as an UDFA, as other notable passers without a draftable grade include NC State’s Jacoby Brissett and Mississippi State’s Dak Prescott.

BP’s Take:  Christian Hackenberg looked every bit the part of a future franchise NFL quarterback during his freshman season in Happy Valley.  That seems like an eternity ago.  Over the last two years, Hackenberg has looked more like a long-term project than a potential building block. That said, I still believe has enough raw talent to justify a Day-3 pick.  In fact, it’s likely that he’ll be selected in the fourth round after teams have a chance to reshuffle their board between days two and three.  The other two players (read more…)


NFL Draft Analysts Participate in #TeamBuilderMock

Written by Bryan Perez on February 19, 2016

NFLDraftReports

Several of the NFL Draft community’s analysts and writers have come together to participate in a 22-round “Team-Builder Mock Draft” initiated by Bleacher Report’s Luke Easterling. The participants include three of Draft Breakdown’s Senior Analysts (myself, Joe Marino and Kyle Crabbs) along with USA Today’s Jon Ledyard and Jonah Tuls (who also contributes here), Inside the Pylon’s Shane Alexander, Steeler’s Wire’s Curt “Da Bearded Geek” Popejoy, and bloggers/writers Joe Wedra and Robert Ortiz.  The purpose of this Mock Draft is to construct a team — 22 starters — from this year’s crop of prospects.  It is not a prediction of how the NFL Draft will unfold in April.  Rather, it’s insight into each analyst’s team building methodology.

UPDATE:  The #TeamBuilderMock is complete!  Take a look at the rosters and let (read more…)


Pre-Combine Three-Round Mock Draft

Written by Matt LaPan on February 18, 2016

Tunsil Cover

1) Tennessee Titans: 2015 Record – 3-13

Laremy Tunsil – OT – Mississippi

The Titans are in a great spot to get their franchise left tackle with Tunsil. Protecting their franchise quarterback in Marcus Mariota should be top priority, and this pick proves that the team is doing just that.

2) Cleveland Browns: 2015 Record – 3-13

Jared Goff – QB – California

The Browns have so many needs to fill that it is hard to know where to start. Getting the quarterback of the future is a good start. Goff can make all the throws needed in the NFL, and should give a solid foundation to the rebuilding Browns.

3) San Diego Chargers: 2015 Record – 4-12

Joey Bosa – EDGE – Ohio State

Bosa is arguably the best player in the draft, and is too good for the Chargers to pass on. He brings a (read more…)


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