Written by Joe Marino, Senior NFL Draft Analyst on April 26, 2015
Written by Bryan Perez on April 25, 2015
The FRG 2015 NFL Draft Guide is now available for FREE via the link below. I have made the Guide a free download as an expression of my gratitude to all the members of the NFL Draft community for the support you’ve given to DraftBreakdown.com over the years, and especially since I became a co-owner in January.
The Guide contains 150 player overviews, my top-100 Big Board (based only on the players I’ve evaluated), and positional rankings. I did not include a Mock Draft; My final Mock will be posted here on Monday (and submitted in defense of my Huddle Report title).
Again, thank you! Remember: This Guide is intended to be a supplement to the already great works that have been published by the likes of Matt Waldman, Kyle Crabbs, Dane Brugler and many others. Take your hard-earned money and purchase their products. You won’t be disappointed!
NOTE: Make (read more…)
Written by Luke Easterling, Senior Draft Analyst on April 25, 2015
1st Round Grades
1. Leonard Williams | DL | USC
2. Jameis Winston | QB | Florida State
3. Marcus Mariota | QB | Oregon
4. Todd Gurley | RB | Georgia
5. Amari Cooper | WR | Alabama
6. Dante Fowler, Jr. | EDGE | Florida
7. Kevin White | WR | West Virginia
8. Vic Beasley | EDGE | Clemson
9. Brandon Scherff | OL | Iowa
10. Marcus Peters | CB | Washington
11. Bud Dupree | EDGE | Kentucky
12. DeVante Parker | WR | Louisville
13. Malcom Brown | DT | Texas
14. Arik Armstead | DL | Oregon
15. Kevin Johnson | CB | Wake Forest
16. Eric Kendricks | LB | UCLA
17. Cam Erving | OL | Florida State
18. Owamagbe Odighizuwa | EDGE | UCLA
19. Jake Fisher | OT | Oregon
20. Melvin Gordon | RB | Wisconsin
21. (read more…)
Written by Kyle Crabbs, Senior Draft Analyst on April 24, 2015
The true mark of quality draft evaluators is not necessarily their “hit rate”. The general success of draft projections in itself is an inexact science; each and every person who looks at players does so through their own unique scope of valued traits and without the context of a system/philosophical structure that can be found in NFL front offices. To boot, player evaluation done prior to the draft does not take into context the landing spot of players, which can drastically change their projection when factoring in what it is they will be asked to do throughout the life of their rookie contract and potentially beyond. When these factors are all wrapped together with the fact that the outside world is lacking in a number of notable factors (medicals, player personality/background, etc.) and expecting external draft evaluators to hit on a very high percentage of their evaluations is a difficult (read more…)
Written by Luke Easterling, Senior Draft Analyst on April 24, 2015
1. Landon Collins | Alabama | 6’0″, 228 | Grade: 1st Round
Once considered to be a potential top-10 pick, Collins more likely to go in the latter part of the first round, and with good reason. As a box safety, Collins delivers all the tools and skills NFL teams are looking for. He struggles in coverage and would be a terrible fit as a single-high center-fielder, but with the right team and right scheme, he could be a Pro Bowler.
2. Eric Rowe | Utah | 6’1″, 205 | Grade: 1st Round
Listed as a corner by most, I project Rowe to be a better fit at safety in the NFL. He’s still raw and stiff in man coverage, but he has the size, instincts and tackling ability to thrive on the back end. He’s got plenty of developing to do, but he’s worthy of a 1st-round pick.
Written by Joe Marino, Senior NFL Draft Analyst on April 23, 2015
First Round Grades
1. Brandon Scherff, Iowa – Scherff is an outstanding run blocker. His technique, hand placement and leg drive are incredible. He generates outstanding power from his legs that shifts through his hips to his arms. He has a strong initial punch and creates huge running lanes off the line of scrimmage. Scherff is a good blocker in space who anticipates where linebackers will be and seals them off with authority. He can also break down in space against secondary players to block them downfield. In pass protection, Scherff flashes the skills needed to be sound at the next level. He demonstrates good foot speed and the ability to mirror an opposing rusher and keep him away from his quarterback. Although he is far from a liability as a pass blocker, he isn’t as polished in this area as he is as a run blocker. His aggressive and (read more…)
Written by Luke Easterling, Senior Draft Analyst on April 23, 2015
1. Marcus Peters | Washington | 6’0″, 197 | Grade: Top 10
One of the more difficult evaluations in this entire draft class, Peters’ on-field talent is well-documented. Unfortunately, so are the off-field problems that led to him being kicked off the team last season. Peters needs get his head straight, but if he does, he could easily be the NFL’s next shut-down corner. He’s the best natural cover man in this class.
2. Kevin Johnson | Wake Forest | 6’0″, 188 | Grade: 1st Round
The most smooth, fluid corner in this draft, Johnson was one of my favorite players to watch on film this year. He’s scheme-versatile, comes out of his breaks clean and quickly, and has the size and length to go up against bigger receivers. His frame is a bit thinner than some might like, but that shouldn’t prevent him from being one of the (read more…)
Written by John Owning on April 23, 2015
When you watch cutups of certain players it can be obvious as to how well, or not so well, they project to the NFL. They have a very distinct skill set that leads to an easy projection to the pro ranks. However, there are a lot of player’s whose projection is a bit more obscure.
These players navigate in the gray areas in a profession that deals in black and white. They excel in areas that are easily translatable to the NFL, but they struggle in other facets, which will give evaluators pause. These players are the reasons why NFL scouts, scouting directors and general managers are employed by each of the 32 teams. They are the difficult evaluations and they are what separate the good organizations from the great ones.
Oregon’s Arik Armstead is another player whose evaluation is difficult and obscure.
Armstead was a highly touted offensive tackle prospect (read more…)
Written by Justin Higdon, Senior Draft Analyst on April 23, 2015
The Unique Performance Calculation, or UPC, is the athletic metric I use in my draft evaluation process. The scores incorporate the results of each player’s bench press reps of 225 pounds; 40-yard dash, three-cone and 20-yard shuttle times; and vertical and broad jumps, and measure them in relation to the individual’s weight. In cases where a prospect has attempted a drill or drills at the scouting combine and his pro day, I have given him the benefit of the doubt and used the most favorable number. For those players who did not compete in every test, I used averages based on weight and position group in order to approximate the UPC score. A more in-depth explanation of the metric can be found here.
This year I accumulated results for over 600 prospects from the 2015 NFL Draft class. Quarterbacks are not included, as I don’t consider the UPC a (read more…)
Written by Justin Higdon, Senior Draft Analyst on April 23, 2015
NFL Draft analysis is not generally a high-paying job. We can talk about exceptions to the rule (hold that thought), but for many of us, I dare say the most rewarding part of the process is being “right.” Separating the wheat from the chaff is the goal. Watching games, combing through numbers, and formulating the hottest of takes hoping everything works out for the best. For some reason, we seem content to treat this like high school baseball and accept that a batting average of .600 is about as good as we could ask for. A couple of times a year, I read something like, “even NFL teams miss on a high number of picks.” That’s fine. It’s understandable considering how many variables are at play. But I truly think some of these “misses” are avoidable.
The draft is a huge gamble, but plenty of gamblers make a handsome living. (read more…)