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Guest Post: 2009 NFL Draft Review

Written by Will Spencer on August 21, 2012

Matthew Stafford

Originally posted at NFL Draft Geek.

Once again, we are clearly shown by the 2009 NFL Draft, just how much of an uncertainty the NFL Draft really is. Everybody thinks they are getting a superstar with their 1st round pick, but the truth is, only about 17% of 1st Round Picks make multiple Pro-Bowls. This year stuck right to that mold, as currently, only 6 of the 32 1st Round Picks have made the Pro-Bowl (18%). Four out of the first 7 Picks were total busts, but the “Bust Rate” (F) wasn’t too terrible (25%) Compared to a usual average of 30%. The “Hit Rate” (B or Higher) was actually pretty high, at 46%. However, the real problem with this draft class proved to be a severe lack of depth, with very few “Gems” found in the later rounds. After Round One, you can (read more…)

Player Review and Outlook: Tyron Smith

Written by Andrew Parsons on August 13, 2012

tyron_smith_video_feature

In 2011, Tyron Smith started all 16 games for the Dallas Cowboys at the RT position, which he played at USC. The fact that he played RT in college was seen as a source of concern to some. Others pointed to the fact that he was reportedly only 280 pounds during his time at USC. Due to this, people questioned his run blocking ability, his strength, and his ability to add weight to his frame. He was also just 20, and despite starting for 2 years, he was looked at as raw.

 

Tyron Smith appeared destined to be a Late 1st, or Early 2nd round pick, mainly based on his tremendous upside. However, his post season weigh in of 307 pounds, combined with his monster Pro Day vaulted him into top 15 talks. While watching him as a college player, you could tell that he was more than (read more…)

Film Session: Ryan Mallett, Because Mechanics

Written by Eric Stoner on August 12, 2012

Mallett

Most of you know Ryan Mallett’s story: highly touted pocket passer transfers from Michigan to Arkansas after the Wolverines bring in Rich Rodriguez and his spread offense.  Puts up pretty prolific passing numbers in the SEC.  Drug rumors off the field and bad decisions under pressure on the field kill his draft stock and he falls to the third round – to the New England Patriots, a team that knows how to develop quarterbacks over the long term.

While studying Mallett’s week one preseason debut, I noticed something contradictory in his game.  For a big, slow-footed quarterback, he is surprisingly adept at moving and re-setting in the pocket, as well as playing in confined spaces.  This goes back to his college days, actually.  While Mallett’s decision-making under pressure was really questionable during his college career, from a skillset standpoint, he always displayed the arm talent to make throws with bodies (read more…)

Looking At Aldon Smith’s Rookie Success

Written by Andrew Parsons on August 8, 2012

Pittsburgh Steelers v San Francisco 49ers

Aldon Smith declared for the 2011 NFL Draft after a sub-par Red Shirt Sophomore year. His sack numbers went way down, and a lot of people in the draft community seemed to be a bit ambivalent towards him as a prospect. Assuredly, he was greatly affected by a fractured fibula injury, but watching him play his RS SO year didn’t make him seem like he’d be an upper echelon pass rusher in the NFL, especially right off the bat. In addition to Smith’s down year, his combine numbers weren’t of the same caliber of other “freak” athletes either. Another thing was that it always appeared to me as  Smith looked better rushing from the inside, and had a lot of his production come from the DT spot. This was one of many reasons to question how Smith would fare in the NFL.

Recently, I’ve been watching (read more…)

Film Session: How the Kansas City Defense Got the Best of Aaron Rodgers

Written by Eric Stoner on August 7, 2012

Tamba Is Hungry

This post is a test run.  I’m hoping for this to be a weekly feature in the future.

Kansas City was the first and only loss the Green Bay Packers suffered in the regular season.  Rodgers’ numbers in that game: 17-35 (48.6%) for 235 yards (6.7 YPA), 1 TD and 0 INTs.  He was also sacked 4 times and fumbled once.  For comparison’s sake, Rodgers’ previous season lows in completion percentage and YPA were 56.9% (his only other game below 60%) and 7.8(!!!!), respectively.

Note: The Packers were also plagued by drops in this game.  According to ProFootballFocus.com’s Re-Focused Game Breakdown: “if you factor in the five drops, two throw aways and a spike, he was accurate on 68.8% of his passes.”

In order to slow down a passing game like Green Bay’s, you have to do a few things.  The first is to acknowledge going into (read more…)

What are the Jets Doing to Stephen Hill?

Written by Andrew Parsons on August 2, 2012

Stephen Hill

In my last article, I opened by talking about how important a fit is to a prospect. This is perhaps most true for the prospects that are raw in certain nuances of their position. These players, who can almost be looked at as pieces of clay, are heavily dependent on the sculptor. On one hand, the sculptor can produce something beautiful, such as Vulca’s Apollo from Veii, and on the other hand, you might get something that looks like it came out of a high school ceramics class. Or even worse, something a toddler mashed together with Play-Doh.

A piece of clay that every offensive coach wants work with is one that is 6’4, 215 pounds, can run a 4.36 40 yard dash, and posts vertical leaps and broad jumps of 39.5 and 133 inches respectively. Of course, we aren’t talking about just a piece of clay at this (read more…)

Lists, Fits, and Intrigue

Written by Andrew Parsons on July 27, 2012

Fits

Every year, so much emphasis is placed on pre-draft lists. From big boards to positional rankings, it’s something everyone does, and it’s something everyone wants to see. Before I go any further, let me just say that I’m not making a case against this exercise. First and foremost, it’s a fun thing to do. Secondly, I don’t think it’s a frivolous pursuit at all. If your objective is to make the rankings as accurate as possible, it forces you to do the proper amount of film study. If your putting your name and your “reputation” to it, I highly doubt you’re just watching one 4 minute cut up. Thus, you really learn a lot about the class by doing these lists. Perhaps more importantly, this pursuit gives you a base to look back on, a base to see your mistakes, and thus, to become a better evaluator of talent later (read more…)

Michigan RB Toussaint suspended indefinitely after DUI

Written by Gil Alcaraz IV on July 23, 2012

Ohio State v Michigan

On the same day that the Penn State football program got pummeled into the ground, another Big Ten school took a significant blow.

Confirmed by Michigan head coach Brady Hoke himself, starting running back Fitzgerald Toussaint has been suspended after being arrested and charged with driving under the influence this weekend.

“Fitz made a poor decision and has been suspended indefinitely because of that action,” Hoke said in a statement. “There are expectations that come with being a student-athlete at the University of Michigan and those responsibilities were not met in this instance.”

According to SalinePatch.com, Toussaint was arrested around 11:45 p.m. on Saturday night in Ann Arbor. After being pulled over due to a traffic violation, a breathalyzer revealed that the Michigan runner was over the .08 legal BAC limit. He was arrested and charged with operating a vehicle while impaired.

As made evident (read more…)

Josh Gordon getting early-round grades for 2012 NFL Supplemental Draft

Written by Gil Alcaraz IV on July 8, 2012

Josh Gordon

Of the few prospects available during the 2012 Supplemental Draft, former Baylor wide receiver Josh Gordon has received the majority of the pre-draft buzz. And for good reason…

Not only is he a tremendously talented player, but he possesses the potential to develop into a legitimate No. 1 wide receiver at the next level. He’s a gifted athlete with the soft hands and elusiveness after the catch that NFL teams covet. The 6’3’’, 220-pound receiver reportedly runs a 4.3 40-yard dash and has star-caliber upside.

Some scouts have even said that he’s better than his former Baylor teammate Kendall Wright, who was drafted No. 20 overall by the Tennessee Titans in the 2012 NFL Draft.

Many scouts predict that Gordon won’t get past the third round of the draft, but any interested teams will certainly be wary of the risk involved. More often than not, supplemental draft (read more…)

Eric Stoner’s RSP Writer’s Project Team

Written by Eric Stoner on July 2, 2012

Photo Courtesy of New York Daily News

Matt Waldman, who owns the Rookie Scouting Portfolio website (which produces a fantastic and incredibly in-depth guide on skill position prospects for the NFL Draft), is hosting a fun team-building project.

There is a salary cap and all players are assigned a specific value.  You have complete freedom to pick a 53 man roster and explain the reasoning behind your selections, what type of scheme you’ll run, etc.

I put together a fast break, no-huddle offense centered around Four Verticals and am running Pete Carroll’s 4-3 Under defense.  I’ve got the best QB in football and maybe the best cornerback trio the league has ever seen.

Here’s a link to my Roster and the Q&A, respectively.

If you want to build your own team and submit it to Matt, here’s the Project Menu page.

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